Confirmation bias and authors


To some non-fiction authors, every real-world problem looks like a nail perfectly suited for their specific hammer. 🔨

​It’s a pattern I see often : authors interpreting complex situations solely through the lens of the specific solution they are trying to sell. If the link between reality and their proprietary model isn't obvious, they’ll bend over backward to invent one out of thin air.

​Compare this to the scientific method. Scientists might have their pet theories, but they actively go out of their way to prove themselves wrong. They rely on repeatable data that delivers the same results under identical conditions.

​In the business world, we often see the exact opposite.

​My problem is that some authors don’t just create groupthink, they try to artificially expand it. It’s already hard enough to fight the social media algorithms that feed our existing preferences. We don’t need dogmatic models killing new ideas by claiming precedence.

​When we try to force a messy world into these rigid, cookie-cutter theories, we kill critical thinking. We rush to adopt the "shiny new methodology," wonder why it doesn't work for our unique situation, and blame ourselves instead of a model that simply doesn't scale.

​The real world is complex. We need to stop treating business books like absolute gospel.

​Before buying into the next big concept (AI springs to mind), apply some critical thinking:

- ​Is there a real link between my situation and their solution, or is it made up?

- ​Am I looking for the truth, or just what I want to be true?

​How do you filter the genuine insights from the marketing noise?